Monaco Lottery

Jenson Button at Monaco

This weekends Monaco Grand Prix must surely be one of the most open in many years with half a dozen or more drivers in with a good chance of victory.  The bookmakers cannot call it as they’ve got Hamilton as favourite at 3-1 with another six drivers shorter odds than 10-1.  I’ll go through those who I think have a decent chance of winning.

Hamilton I would agree is the favourite as McLaren tend to go well here and Lewis is overdue a victory with some good driving this season and not many errors.  However, the McLaren has not always been on the pace and the team has had problems with their pit-stops so he is by no means guaranteed a win.

I rate Pastor Maldonado as having a good chance and perhaps he is second favourite this weekend.  Last year he went well at Monaco and he has won here in lower formulae.  The Williams looks to be quite strong at the moment and it is easy on its tyres and that is very crucial around this circuit.

Both Lotus cars have been strong recently and they are overdue a win.  Raikkonen especially is a driver who has the ability to extract the most out of the car around the confines of Monaco and I feel he has a good chance of winning.  If he does win it would make it 6 different winners in the first 6 races and from 6 different constructors and there is a good chance that could happen.  His team mate Grosjean also has a chance and he’s French so has home advantage and he has also won here in lower formulae.

You can never rule out Fernando Alonso either and he has a good history around the track and the Ferrari has improved of late and this circuit is more about the driver than the car.  It’s forecast to be a wet race and if that turns out to be the case then Fernando might be favourite as he won the last wet race we had at Malaysia.

Another driver in with a good chance if it’s not a dry race would be Jenson Button who has made a habit of winning races in the last few season where the conditions have been changeable.

It speaks volumes that I am not talking about either Red Bull driver until this far into the article after they dominated the last couple of season so strongly.  However, they’ve not really looked the quickest at any race and certainly not dominated but Sebastian Vettel is still a contender for the win here. His team mate Webber has also won recently at Monaco and has a chance, albeit a slimmer one.

I believe the winner for tomorrow will come from those above, Mercedes who have won a race this season are too hard on their tyres in my opinion to be serious contenders but Michael Schumacher might have a chance if it’s a wet race as he has won here several times and can be mercurial in the wet.

Having written all of this we’ll probably see a Sauber victory now!

There’s a poll on the Fantasy F1 League website where you can see what other people are thinking, have a look and vote if you haven’t already:


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