After the mid-season break the circus reconvenes at Spa in the Ardennes, a truly great circuit full of history and atmosphere. It’s a track that the drivers and fans alike love and one that can provide some top quality action.
On paper the track should suit Mercedes as it has some very quick corners and long flat-out sections. However, the middle sector of the lap is tighter and could favour Ferrari with their shorter wheelbase car. Kimi Raikonnen is something of a Spa specialist so it will be interesting to see how he does especially versus his team-mate Vettel who is challenging for the title.
The problem Ferrari will have is they will likely be slower on the straights so overtaking Mercedes will be hard for them, so qualifying will be crucial as will strategy.
Of course this all goes out of the window if we have rain, which is quite common at this venue, long range forecasts are predicting a 60% chance of rain for qualifying AND race day.
If it’s wet then the Ferrari may turn out to be the strongest package with its high level of downforce and Red Bull may also come into contention.
Lewis Hamilton will want to win this race desperately to reduce the gap to Vettel in the championship standings, currently it stands at 14 points. A win here would reduce the gap to 7 points or less, a Mercedes 1-2 (with Hamilton winning) would reduce to to 4 points assuming Vettel is 3rd.
Looking forward to what could be a classic race, fingers crossed!
My prediction is Hamilton to win from Bottas with Vettel 3rd, Kimi 4th.
If it’s wet, no clue, could be anyone’s!